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HP Integrity Essentials Capacity Advisor: HP Integrity Essentials Capacity Advisor User's Guide Version A.03.00.00 > Chapter 4 Basic Operations

Using Trends and Forecasts

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HP Integrity Essentials Capacity Advisor provides trend analysis to allow you to better understand how the utilization of resources is changing over time and multiple levels of forecast models to allow precise control of forecasting future utilization.

Controlling Trend Calculations

Trends are calculated automatically when reports are generated. Defining the basis for calculating the trend is important to ensure accurate analysis of the utilization data.

Controlling Trend Calculation

Prerequisites. To control trend calculation:

  • You must be logged in to HP Systems Insight Manager (see Accessing Capacity Advisor).

  • You must have already collected data on the systems of interest (see Collecting Data).

  • You must be authorized and licensed on all systems you wish to include in the report (see VSE Management Software Quick Start Guide Version A.03.00.00 ).

Procedure 4-13 To Control Trend Calculations

  1. Follow the procedure Generating a Report until you get to the screen Step 1 of 2: Select Report Targets.

  2. Make sure the check-box preceding Trend Summary is checked.

  3. Click the check-box preceding Trend Details.

  4. Click the Next button.

    The Step 2 of 2: Select Report Details screen will be displayed.

  5. Select a Business Period appropriate to your environment. See Trend Calculations for a description of how the business period is used.

  6. Enter the desired percent of valid points required for a business period to be used in calculating the trend into the Valid Threshold field. Requiring higher percentages of valid points can make the business periods analyzed more meaningful, but can also reduce the number of business periods available for the analysis, making the overall analysis less useful.

  7. Select the desired trend to calculate by selecting one of the radio buttons following Compute Trending of.

  8. To include information on the quality of the regression result, click the check-box preceding Include Error Analysis.

  9. Click the Finish button.

  10. Continue with the original procedure.

Suppressing Trend Calculation

When viewing forecast data, you may want to suppress the trend calculation since trend analysis based on forecast data is not meaningful.

Prerequisites. To suppress trend calculation:

  • You must be logged in to HP Systems Insight Manager (see Accessing Capacity Advisor).

  • You must have already collected data on the systems of interest (see Collecting Data).

  • You must be authorized and licensed on all systems you wish to include in the report (see VSE Management Software Quick Start Guide Version A.03.00.00 ).

Procedure 4-14 To Suppress Trend Calculations

  1. Follow the procedure Generating a Report until you reach the screen Step 1 of 2: Select Report Targets.

  2. Click on the check-box preceding Trend Summary.

    The check-mark will be removed from the box and the check-box preceding Trend Details will be grayed out.

  3. Click the Next button and continue with the report generation procedure.

Defining Forecast Models

Whenever a Capacity Advisor report or profile is generated with an end date later than the current date, the historical utilization data must be projected into the future. The projection is indicated in the utilization graphs by a colored background. This projection is done based on a forecast model. Forecast models can be defined globally, for individual workloads or systems, for a scenario, and for individual workloads within a scenario. Since the process for defining a forecast model is basically the same regardless of where it is in the hierarchy of forecast models, the procedures below are broken into two parts: accessing the forecast model and defining it.

NOTE: Although forecast models cannot be deleted, all but the global forecast model can be disabled and enabled. Follow the appropriate procedure for accessing the forecast model and then follow the procedure for disabling or enabling it.

The Forecast Model Hierarchy

The forecast model can be specified at four different levels within Capacity Advisor, with more specific forecast models overriding more general models, as indicated in the following table:

Table 4-1 Forecast Models

ForecastDescriptionOverrides
Global ForecastApplies to all workloads in Capacity Advisor for which a more specific forecast is not provided.
• Nothing
Workload ForecastApplies to a specific workload in Capacity Advisor unless a more specific forecast is provided.
• Global
Scenario ForecastApplies to all workloads within a Capacity Advisor scenario for which a more specific forecast is not provided.
• Global
• Workload
Scenario Workload ForecastApplies to a specific workload within a Capacity Advisor scenario.
• Global
• Workload
• Scenario

 

Accessing the Global Forecast Model

The annual growth rates for the global forecast model are frequently based on an organization's planned growth rate. The global forecast model applies to all reports generated on systems and complexes. Reports on workloads or scenarios without a forecast model also use the global forecast model.

Prerequisites. To define the global forecast model:

Procedure 4-15 To Access the Global Forecast Model

  1. If you are not on the Capacity Advisor tab:

    • If the Capacity Advisor tab is visible, click the Capacity Advisor tab.

    • If the Capacity Advisor tab is not visible, select Optimize->Capacity Advisor->View Scenarios... from the upper, HP SIM menu bar.

    The Capacity Advisor tab will open, with a list of scenarios.

  2. From the lower menu-bar, select Modify->Global Forecast...

    The Forecast Editor - Global Forecast Model screen will be displayed.

  3. To define the forecast model, follow the procedure Defining a Forecast Model.

What Now? You might want to:

Accessing the Forecast Model for a Workload or System

If the resource utilization of an individual workload or system is expected to change differently from that predicted by the global forecast model, a different forecast model can be provided.

IMPORTANT: The forecast model for a system is not inherited by any sub-OS workloads. If a system with sub-OS workloads is included in a scenario, the forecast model will not be used within the scenario.

Prerequisites. To define the forecast model for a workload or system:

Procedure 4-16 To Define the Forecast Model for a Workload or System

  1. If you are not on the VSE Management: Virtualization Manager screen, from the upper, HP SIM menu, select Tools->VSE Management....

    The VSE Management: Virtualization Manager screen will be displayed.

    • To define the forecast model for a system, click the System tab.

      The System tab will open, displaying the VSE managed systems.

    • To define the forecast model for a workload, click the Workload tab.

      The Workload tab will open, displaying the VSE workloads.

  2. Click on one of the bar-graphs representing CPU or memory utilization for the system or workload of interest.

    The Capacity Advisor - Profile Viewer screen will be displayed for the system or workload.

  3. Click the Edit Forecast Model... link above the Refresh button.

    The Forecast Editor - Workload Forecast Model screen will be displayed (for both workloads and systems).

What Now? You might want to:

Accessing the Forecast Model for a Scenario

Defining a separate forecast for a scenario allows you to provide estimates of utilization based on differing growth projections.

Prerequisites. To define the forecast model for a scenario:

Procedure 4-17 To Access the Forecast Model for a Scenario

  1. If you are not on the Capacity Advisor tab:

    • If the Capacity Advisor tab is visible, click the Capacity Advisor tab.

    • If the Capacity Advisor tab is not visible, select Optimize->Capacity Advisor->View Scenarios... from the upper, HP SIM menu bar.

    The Capacity Advisor tab will open, with a list of scenarios.

  2. The names of any scenarios for which you have authorization to define a forecast model will be displayed as links. Click the radio button preceding the scenario for which you wish to define the forecast model.

    The row containing the scenario will be highlighted and the radio button will be filled-in to indicate selection.

  3. From the lower menu-bar, select Modify->Scenario-wide Forecast...

    The Forecast Editor - Scenario-wide Forecast Model screen will be displayed.

NOTE: You can also access the scenario forecast model while editing a scenario by selecting Edit->Scenario Wide Forecast... form the menu-bar in the scenario editor.

What Now? You might want to:

Accessing the Forecast Model for a Workload Within a Scenario

If the resource utilization of an individual workload within a scenario is expected to change differently from the scenario forecast model, a different forecast model can be provided for the workload.

Prerequisites. To define the forecast model for a workload within a scenario:

Procedure 4-18 To Define the Forecast Model for a Workload Within a Scenario

  1. If you are not viewing the workloads, click the Workload tab.

    The Workload tab will open, revealing a list of the workloads in the scenario.

  2. Click the check-box preceding a single workload.

    A check-mark will fill the check-box preceding the name of the workload and the row containing it will highlight to indicate selection.

  3. Select Edit->Scenario Workload Forecast... from the menu-bar.

    The Forecast Editor - Scenario Workload Forecast Model screen will be displayed.

What Now? You might want to:

Defining a Forecast Model

Once you have accessed the forecast model at the correct level, use the following procedure to define it.

Procedure 4-19 To Define a Forecast Model

  1. Provide a brief description of the forecast model in the Description field

  2. Specify an appropriate range of data to base the forecast on in the Forecast Data Range Selection fields. To understand how the forecast calculation uses the data range, see Forecast Calculations

  3. Provide Annual Projected Growth Rates for CPU and Memory (positive values for increasing utilization, negative values for decreasing utilization, and zero for no change). You may want to use trend data derived from analysis of the historical data (see Controlling Trend Calculations).

  4. Click the OK button.

Disabling a Forecast Model

Procedure 4-20 To Disable a Forecast Model

While it is not possible to delete a forecast model, forecast models at all levels below the global forecast model can be disabled by accessing the appropriate forecast model and using the following procedure.

  1. Click the Disable radio button.

    The radio-button circle will be filled in, indicating selection.

  2. Click the OK button.

Enabling a Forecast Model

If you have previously disable a forecast model, you can re-enable it by accessing the appropriate forecast model and using the following procedure.

Procedure 4-21 To Enable a Forecast Model

  1. Click the Enable radio button.

    The radio-button circle will be filled in, indicating selection.

  2. Click the OK button.

Generating Forecasts

Once you have defined one or more forecast models, you can view the results of the forecast models two ways:

Viewing Forecast Data in a Profile Viewer

The profile viewer provides a quick view of resource utilization for a system, complex, or workload. Once the profile viewer is posted, you can view the forecast by extending the date range into the future.

Prerequisites. To view forecasts withing a profile viewer:

Procedure 4-22 To View Forecast Data Within a Profile Viewer

  • Change the Time Frame and/or Interval and/or Beginning and/or Ending for the profile to include future dates and/or times. If necessary, click the Refresh button.

    The graph will be updated. Historical utilization data will be plotted on a white background and forecast data will be plotted on a colored background.

Viewing Forecast Data in a Utilization Report

Use the procedure specified in Generating a Report and specify Ending (and possibly Beginning) times under Date Selection to include future times.

Historical utilization data will be plotted on a white background and forecast data will be plotted on a colored background.

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